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Large Churches and Mission Centers | Nazarene Presence in the Texas Triangle Megaregion (1905-2017)

7/27/2018

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I decided to tie these two infographs together since there is not much difference between the two slides. 

Key information from each of them:

There is only one church over 1,000 in attendance in the entire megaregion (Bethany OK First).

There three churches over 600 in attendance. For every 100 people in a Nazarene church on a Sunday morning in the Texas Triangle megaregion, thirteen of them are in these four churches. Two of them are in Oklahoma City and one is in Houston. The two in Oklahoma City are over 100 years old. 
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Let's look at the an expanded view of sizeable congregations. I usually look at churches over 600 but since there are only four that fit this criterion, and I already looked at them in the previous infograph, I opened up the criteria to include the 16 total churches with more than 250 in attendance.  That's right, sixteen churches have over 250 on Sunday in the Texas Triangle megaregion. 

For every 100 Nazarene attenders in church on Sunday morning in the Texas Triangle, 28 of them are in one of these sixteen congregations. Nine of these churches are in Oklahoma; seven are in Texas. 

Of the 331 churches reporting attendance, four out of 10 have less than 45 in attendance on a Sunday morning.

Average attendance is around 80; median attendance is 49 among all churches reporting attendance. 

Dallas, Texas is the geographic crossroads of the Texas Triangle megaregion. 
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Resources

  • Organized Churches| Texas Triangle
  • Closed Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Pastors| Texas Triangle
  • Women in Ministry | Texas Triangle
  • Ethnic Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Other Megaregions
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Women in Ministry | Nazarene Presence in the Texas Triangle Megaregion (1905-2017)

7/27/2018

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Just another straight forward infograph. There are sixteen female pastors, or 5% of the total number fo 318 assigned pastors in the Texas Triangle Megaregion.

Three-fourths of the female pastors have served eight or fewer years. Median attendance at a church with a female pastor is 45; overall, the median average attendance with an assigned pastor regardless of gender is 54. 

One key piece of information from this megaregion, though, is that more than half of the female pastors (9 of 16) serve an ethnic church. 
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Resources:


  • Organized Churches| Texas Triangle
  • Closed Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Pastors| Texas Triangle
  • Ethnic Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Large Churches and Missional Centers | Texas Triangle
  • Other Megaregions
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Pastors | Nazarene Presence in the Texas Triangle Megaregion (1905-2017)

7/27/2018

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 Much of this infograph is pretty straightforward. There are a few interesting morsels, however.

Sixteen churches reported zero attendance: eight of them have an assigned pastor.​ 

Add in the 45 churches reporting at least one person in attendance but less than twenty total, and only four churches are dual charges (one pastor for two churches). 

38 churches or about 10% do not have an assigned pastor.

Seventy percent (70%) of churches have an assigned pastor and an reported average attendance of less than 75 for worship. Median attendance at a church with an assigned pastor is 54. What does this say about the sustainability over the long term for paying a pastor/family a viable living wage? I've heard some say that 45 in attendance is enough to support a pastor. As a former bivocational pastor of a church that size, I know there was a choice between a full-time pastor or a decent facility. I would put the viability of a full-time ministry at a church around at least 75 in attendance. There are 122 churches that fit this category--that's only one-third of the churches in this megaregion. In one of the fastest growing populations in North America. This. Is. Sobering. 

Half of the assigned pastors have been at their churches since 2011. Thirteen of the sixteen female pastors have been in place since 2009.

Thirty percent of pastors have been in place for less than four years. 

I will probably say this again, but this megaregion is one of the fasting growing populations in North America. We have 318 pastors in 346 active congregations. To reach 25 million people. The harvest, as Jesus said, is plentiful, but the workers are few. That's one senior pastor per 78,616 people in this megaregion.

NOTE: This research only includes the assigned pastor as the senior pastor, and does not include paid or volunteer staff/associate pastors.
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Resources:

  • Organized Churches| Texas Triangle
  • Closed Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Ethnic Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Women in Ministry | Texas Triangle
  • Large Churches and Missional Centers | Texas Triangle
  • Other Megaregions
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Ethnic Churches | Nazarene Presence in the Texas Triangle Megaregion (1905-2017)

7/27/2018

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 Of the 346 active Nazarene churches in the Texas Triangle megaregion, 110 are ethnic churches ( 32%). 

Ten percent of ethnic churches on this megaregion have female pastors, and 17% do not have an assigned pastor.

15.5% of the total Nazarene membership in the Texas Triangle is found in ethnic churches. (7,948 total members at ethnic churches). 

Hispanic churches comprise 66% of the ethnic churches on the megaregion (73 out of 110).

​Eighty-two of the ethnic churches are located in Texas (75%). 

One-fourth of ethic churches have more than 75 attendees on average.
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Resources:

  • Organized Churches| Texas Triangle
  • Closed Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Large Churches and Missional Centers | Texas Triangle
  • Pastors| Texas Triangle
  • Women in Ministry | Texas Triangle
  • Other Megaregions​
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Closed Churches | Nazarene Presence in the Texas Triangle Megaregion (1905-2017)

7/27/2018

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The data for the Texas Triangle megaregion shows correlations to the others I've researched so far:  About a quarter of church closings happened within two years, about half of them closed within seven years, and seventy percent closed by year twelve. See my blog post on church closings on the Northeast Megaregion and Southern California Megaregion as examples. 

Surprising data that are unique to this megaregion are the sheer number of churches that were active for over 50 years prior to closing (46 of them) -- that's 11% of the total number of churches closed. 

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The 2000s were a time of major closings and the same trends is in place for the current decade. 
Thirty-eight percent (38%) of churches closed after 2000 with seven years of double digit closings. The years prior to 2000 in which more than 10 churches closed were 1910 and 1918. 
UPDATE: Jeff Folks asked a good question on Facebook. Here is the table showing the churches organized, started, total organized/started, closed within decade, closed from this decade, and still active. 
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There is one notable trend: a huge slice (25%) of the churches closed were designated as ethnic churches. Ninety-eight (98) of the 394 closings were ethnic churches. Sixty churches were Hispanic, thirteen were Black, seven were Korean, six were Native American and the balance were labeled Filipino, Jewish and Multicultural.

Three out of four ethnic churches that were closed were located in Texas (74 out of 98). 

Two-thirds (67) of closed ethnic churches were shuttered since 2000.  

There is an interesting correlation among all churches closed in this megaregion (and in the others in this study so far) in that about a quarter of closed ethnic churches (23%) closed in two years, 61% closed within seven years, and 72% closed within twelve years. Thirteen (27%) of the closed ethnic churches closed after more than twenty years of active ministry.

Of the 151 churches closed between 2000-2017, sixty-seven (44%) were ethnic churches. 

Again, the percentages hold true for years two, seven and twelve. Of the sixty-seven ethnic churches closed since 2000:

Closed within two years: two years : 17 (25%)
Closed within seven years: 41 (61%) -- a little higher than the 50% we've seen elsewhere
Closed within twelve years: 47 (70%)

Twenty ethnic churches were closed with at least 13 years to at most 68 years of active ministry.
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Resources

  • Organized Churches| Texas Triangle
  • Large Churches and Missional Centers | Texas Triangle​
  • Pastors| Texas Triangle
  • Women in Ministry | Texas Triangle
  • Ethnic Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Other Megaregions
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Nazarene Presence in the Texas Triangle Megaregion (1905-2017)

7/26/2018

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According to CityMajors.com, due to demographic shifts southward in the continental United States, four of the top sixteen largest cities in the United States are found in the Texas Triangle megaregion: Houston (4), San Antonio (7), Dallas (9), Austin (11), and Fort Worth (16). 
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Source: America2050.org
The Church of the Nazarene recognizes Pilot Point, Texas, around 50 miles north of Dallas, as its birthplace, where there was a unifying of nationwide efforts among several holiness groups into a formalized movement in October 1908.
The long history among Nazarenes also makes it very difficult to trace the location of the Church of the Nazarene in the present-day megaregion. Nazarenes track local church data and generates missional strategy through the administrative unit of a "district," roughly equivalent to a synod or diocese. Not being from Oklahoma, I have absolutely no idea why or how Oklahoma or even churches within the environs of Oklahoma City can be miles apart but on one of three districts (or is it four? I've lost track, honestly). 

The confusing array of administrative units becomes clear when viewing this geographic area through the perspective of a megaregion, which simply represents where people live and how far they are willing to commute for work: It's a "pocket of people," as Neil Cole would say. But, because I'm Nazarene, we'll take a peek at our crazy way of doing it. But, we're not the only ones, apparently America2050 includes Houston in two different megaregions, so how we look at the data will need to be clarified.
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Let's not forget the important fact above:
​Population will double in this area by 2050!

There are seven Nazarene districts that overlap, OVERLAP, not fully contained by or encompassing of only parts of this megaregion. So, as I looked at the data, I tried to include only the churches within the general area of the megaregion suggested by America2050. So, in short, some churches in these six districts will not be included in the analysis. I used the map (below) and the map at the Community Demographics (maps.nazarene.org) to determine which churches will be included in the study. I started this process in August 2017. I simply did not have much time over the past year, and a couple of times, it was soooo frustrating sorting through all the small boom/bust towns that ended up with a Church of the Nazarene over the years. Notice the block of churches over along I-27 between Amarillo and Lubbock? Yes, that is not officially part of the Texas Triangle megaregion but will need to be considered as a mini-megaregion(?) at some point in the near future.
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More on where I established the geographic parameters for the study.  I have reluctantly included the churches around Enid, Oklahoma even though population is in decline in the area.

I have not included some churches that were on major economic thoroughfares, such as Vici, OK which was once on the Great Western Cattle Trail but this is no longer a viable economic conduit. I have keep a location like Grove, Oklahoma since it is in a tourist area near Grand Lake State Park.

I have also included locations around the area codes 74523, 74525, 74721, since these places are in an area between major population areas around Oklahoma City and the Dallas metro, although they are not within the green shading of the Texas Triangle megaregion map.  

I have included Lawton, Oklahoma in the western edge, which is a population island and probably less tied into the Texas Triangle yet has a sizable constellation of local Nazarene churches. 

I have also included churches in Freeport which is south of Houston and probably more connected to the Gulf Coast megaregion. This location’s proximity to Houston, I think, ties into the Texas Triangle.

These are judgment calls but I wanted to be more attentive to where people/population are actually located and not where churches currently exist. 
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Some brief notes not readily apparent in the infographic. The early years were boom years for starting new Nazarene churches. Not all of the churches have lasted but there are still several churches that were started/organized early on that remain active: of the 21 churches started in 1909 seven still open, of the 23 churches started in 1910 there are seven still open, and the 21 churches started in 1914 four are still open). 

​See the list of churches started during the 1920s, 1930s, 1940s, and 2000s that are still active. This number is still quite astounding even though half the churches started in these decades eventually closed.  This is consistent with the 354 churches (47%) of the total number of churches started or organized (750) in the area encompassed by this megaregion.

Four churches were started before or concurrent to the recognized "birth" of the denomination. 

Seventy percent (70%) of the churches started or organized in this megaregion happened before 1940 or after 1980. 

Resources

  • Closed Churches | Texas Triangle​
  • Large Churches and Missional Centers | Texas Triangle
  • Pastors| Texas Triangle
  • Women in Ministry | Texas Triangle
  • Ethnic Churches | Texas Triangle
  • Other Megaregions
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Why Christians Shouldn't Hold Political Office

7/26/2018

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​ I can't think of a Scripture passage that encourages it.

Moses was a government official until he wasn't; there was no way to change things within the government. One could cite Joseph but then his influence waned until we end up with the subjugation of God's people and the need for a Moses to come forth.

All of the kings from Saul onward were not God's plan (Yahweh was to be the Most High but the people of Israel wanted a human leader, Samuel reluctantly offered one (David): and the people chose otherwise (Saul).). David and Solomon were flawed although remembered as the archetypal kingly leaders. Most of the prophets were counterpoints to political leadership; all of them were correctives to the flawed political leadership of the kings.

Every one of the Proverbs that refers to avoiding deceit and seeking humility, both contrary to Machiavellian political methods.

John the Baptist and Jesus who both challenged secular authority and paid with their lives. Paul engaged political authority only so far as to move forward the reign of God but never as an active participant. John the Baptist, Jesus, and Paul were all at some point in their ministries considered lawbreakers and criminals by the state authority. From the Gospels, I think of Nicodemus as a political leader who was disappointed that Jesus did not try to change the government by the usual means.

Just a few thoughts about why I hold my opinion about the difficulty, well, the impossibility of faithful Christian believers holding political office. 

Should Christians participate in the political process? Sure. Go vote, challenge the status quo, and support causes. Be an activist. I just believe the Christian voice is more effective as a counselor and prophet than as an office holder.
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What Comes Next . . .

7/17/2018

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So, some of you have been sending messages, asking about where I'm living and what I'm doing, and why I'm in whatever part of the world I've been to in the last few weeks . . . and why Sonya isn't with me or are we moving there or . . . well, the short answer is Sonya asked for a dissolution of marriage on March 28, and I agreed with her. I mean, it was a shock but no surprise for those that knew us well. It wasn't like we were having midnight shouting matches and throwing china plates at each other (we weren't). The relationship just dissolved. We've had ups and downs in the past, but this down didn't go back up. We filed the petition on April 25. Our house sold and closed on June 8. Sonya moved to Florida, and I moved to Indianapolis to spend summer and sabbatlcal there with Shepherd Community while writing, doing research and serving as a home base for traveling. Today was the final court date in Mt. Vernon.

I'd rather you send comments via Facebook Messenger or just text me.

Here are the short answers to the most common questions:

How are you doing? The first three weeks were hard, like really hard. I've been on the opposite end of hearing about relationship struggles and separations but never the one going through it quite like this. Good people gave wonderful words of encouragement and support. One told me, "You're not letting go willfully but you need to let go gracefully." And, so that's how I chose to act. Sonya and I have an amicable friendship. We chatted before and after the session today, and departed with a brief hug and wave.

How are the boys? Well, it'd be best to ask them directly. I will say that they are surrounded by the best friends a couple of guys could ask for and were living in super supportive communities at Nazarene Theological College in Manchester England (Parker) and Trevecca Nazarene University (Payton). They were well cared for and surrounded with encouragement and prayer. I told each of them that this is obviously not the best course of action for a marriage but it will hopefully make things better.

How are you really doing? The first three weeks were in my mind just surreal, trying to wrap my head around the end of a relationship. The immediate separation was easier to understand than how to unwind 26 years of marriage and 29 years of knowing each other. I mean, we have a great story and a bunch of our very interesting lives involves each other. The initial realization that it was over was a harrowing experience, horrible and hopeful. So, ironically, just this weekend at the Wild Goose Festival, Amy Grant shared something of the hopefulness and reconciliation she finally found with her former husband Gary Chapman, asking him to sing the hymns they knew so well at her father's funeral. This was quite profound and helped me greatly. The second phase during the next six to eight weeks was all of the decisions and details associated with parting ways: the need to sell, sort, pack, move, budget, figure out, all while grieving and finishing the school year. Whew. Good folks helped out in just the right ways. The third phase really began this past week as I enter the process of restoration in which I plan to seek spiritual direction, support groups, and very likely some counseling.

I am in the beginning of a previously scheduled sabbatical this Fall, something I have never done before. I also scheduled trips in May to Ireland, Wales and England for a spiritual pilgrimage and study and in July for a time of volunteering and gathering at the Wild Goose Festival in Hot Springs, North Carolina. Both trips bracketed the beginning of the restoration process that I had no idea I would need when I originally planned the trips. Before, during, and after these trips, I believe God walked certain people across and into my path that brought just the right words and just the right kind of presence that became and in some cases continues to be spigots of grace for me.

One of my first questions in all of this was: What's wrong with me? What about me allowed/contributed to all of this happening? So, I did a deep dive into the Enneagram, discovering myself as a Type 7 (the enthusiast/explorer), and fully leaning toward Type 5 (the researcher/intellectual) which Sevens do when under stress. So, I've learned that I hate endings but love possibilities. I endure the present to jump into the future. I'm not great but doing well. Is it even possible? It must be because this is describes me right now.

My introspective question for the spiritual pilgrimage to Ireland following the paths of ancient Celtic saints was: what's the next step for me? I'm coming close to an answer, until then . . .

I am ready for what comes next.
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